First League badgeFirst League · 19 August 2026AI PICK

Veles badgeVelesvsNizhny Novgorod badgeNizhny Novgorod

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
46.3%
Edge
+12.1 pts
Best odds
2.16

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.16

MediumEdge +12.1%
Our model58.4%
The market46.3%

The market underrated this by 12.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Veles badge

Veles

Attack45
Defence41
Form48
Nizhny Novgorod badge

Nizhny Novgorod

Attack96
Defence52
Form74

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Miss
Our model74.7%
The market85.5%
Edge
-10.8
Odds
1.17

Draw No Bet

Nizhny Novgorod (DNB)

Miss
Our model64.0%
The market74.6%
Edge
-10.6
Odds
1.34

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.1%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market46.3%
Edge
+12.1
Odds
2.16

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.4%Correct
Our model53.2%
The market50.8%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
1.97

Match Winner

Nizhny Novgorod Win

Miss
Our model45.0%
The market56.2%
Edge
-11.2
Odds
1.78

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.60

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

7.9%

1-3

7.8%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.