UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 30 July 2026AI PICK

Velež badgeVeležvsDunajska Streda badgeDunajska Streda

0 - 3
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+3.8 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

LowEdge +3.8%
Our model53.8%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 3.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Velež badge

Velež

Attack46
Defence100
Form67
Dunajska Streda badge

Dunajska Streda

Attack44
Defence97
Form54

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +20.2%
Our model74.8%
The market54.6%
Edge
+20.2
Odds
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.8%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Velež (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.1%
The market54.6%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Velež Win

Edge +24.2%Miss
Our model51.2%
The market27.0%
Edge
+24.2
Odds
3.70

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

1-1

13.4%

1-2

7.7%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.