Serie D · 9 May 2026AI PICK
Velo Clubevs
Nova Iguaçu
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 70.8%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +18.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 18.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Velo Clube
Nova Iguaçu
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +18.2
- Odds
- 1.90
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +11.9
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Nova Iguaçu Win
- Edge
- -4.5
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Nova Iguaçu (DNB)
- Edge
- -14.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 5.25
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
21.9%
0-0
20.5%
1-0
15.2%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.