Serie D badgeSerie D · 4 July 2026AI PICK

Velo Clube badgeVelo ClubevsSão Luiz badgeSão Luiz

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 0 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
58.2%
Markets called
0 of 3 right, 1 close
Final score
2 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

MediumEdge -8.5%
Our model58.2%
The market66.7%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Velo Clube badge

Velo Clube

Attack36
Defence44
Form39
São Luiz badge

São Luiz

Attack43
Defence63
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +16.0%
Our model71.6%
The market55.6%
Edge
+16.0
Odds
1.80

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model58.2%
The market66.7%
Edge
-8.5
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model57.0%
The market63.7%
Edge
-6.7
Odds
1.57

Match Winner

Draw

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model35.8%
The market34.5%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
2.90

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model16.7%
The market19.2%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.20

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

16.7%

1-1

15.2%

0-1

13.2%

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.