Liga de Expansión MX · 8 August 2026AI PICK
Venados FCvs
Tapatío
3 - 2Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.5%
- Market said
- 46.6%
- Edge
- +7.9 pts
- Best odds
- 2.15
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15
The market underrated this by 7.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Venados FC
Tapatío
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -0.8
- Odds
- 1.36
Draw No Bet
Venados FC (DNB)
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.9
- Odds
- 2.15
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -6.1
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Venados FC Win
- Edge
- -4.3
- Odds
- 2.10
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 8.11
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
10.7%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
9.8%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.