VfR Aalenvs
Freiburg II
1 - 1Close
Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.7%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +3.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
MediumEdge +3.1%
Our model55.7%
The market52.6%
The market underrated this by 3.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model72.7%
The market71.4%
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 1.40
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +3.1%Close
Our model55.7%
The market52.6%
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 1.90
Draw No Bet
VfR Aalen (DNB)
Void
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +1.3%Correct
Our model55.4%
The market54.1%
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
VfR Aalen Win
Miss
Our model43.1%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- -6.9
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.