Serie B badgeSerie B · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Vila Nova badgeVila NovavsAvai badgeAvai

2 - 0
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Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.4%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+17.4 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +17.4%
Our model67.4%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 17.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Vila Nova badge

Vila Nova

Attack79
Defence50
Form54
Avai badge

Avai

Attack75
Defence42
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.4%Close
Our model67.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+17.4
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.0%Miss
Our model65.6%
The market54.6%
Edge
+11.0
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Vila Nova Win

Edge +3.2%Correct
Our model55.6%
The market52.4%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Vila Nova (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.7%
The market7.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.19

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

7.8%

1-2

7.3%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.