Serie B badgeSerie B · 8 June 2026AI PICK

Vila Nova badgeVila NovavsBotafogo SP badgeBotafogo SP

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
71.6%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+22.8 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Vila Nova Win

Match Winner · best price 2.05

High confidenceEdge +22.8%
Our model71.6%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 22.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Vila Nova badge

Vila Nova

Attack80
Defence65
Form69
Botafogo SP badge

Botafogo SP

Attack42
Defence60
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model78.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
-5.3
Odds
1.20

Match Winner

Vila Nova Win

Edge +22.8%Correct
Our model71.6%
The market48.8%
Edge
+22.8
Odds
2.05

Draw No Bet

Vila Nova (DNB)

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model63.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model55.1%
The market61.7%
Edge
-6.6
Odds
1.62

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.9%Miss
Our model54.9%
The market40.0%
Edge
+14.9
Odds
2.50

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.21

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.5% · actual

2-0

11.0%

2-1

9.9%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.