Serie B badgeSerie B · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Vila Nova badgeVila NovavsCeara badgeCeara

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
48.9%
Edge
+5.1 pts
Best odds
1.97

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.97

LowEdge +5.1%
Our model54.0%
The market48.9%

The market underrated this by 5.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Vila Nova badge

Vila Nova

Attack61
Defence57
Form56
Ceara badge

Ceara

Attack44
Defence41
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model78.6%
The market84.0%
Edge
-5.4
Odds
1.19

Draw No Bet

Vila Nova (DNB)

Edge +2.2%Correct
Our model70.7%
The market68.5%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
1.46

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.1%Miss
Our model54.0%
The market48.9%
Edge
+5.1
Odds
1.97

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.8%
The market58.9%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.64

Match Winner

Vila Nova Win

Correct
Our model51.6%
The market52.6%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.90

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Close
Our model10.7%
The market12.3%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.11

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.7%

1-1

13.9%

0-0

9.8%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.