Serie B · 19 August 2026AI PICK
Vila Novavs
Ponte Preta
6 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 52.1%
- Edge
- +5.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.83
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.83
The market underrated this by 5.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -11.5
- Odds
- 1.08
Draw No Bet
Vila Nova (DNB)
- Edge
- -13.8
- Odds
- 1.16
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.7
- Odds
- 1.83
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -6.4
- Odds
- 1.59
Match Winner
Vila Nova Win
- Edge
- -23.6
- Odds
- 1.37
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.4
- Odds
- 5.44
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
16.0%
0-0
15.1%
1-1
13.9%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.