Primera División RFEF - Group 2 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 2 · 4 September 2026AI PICK

Villarreal II badgeVillarreal IIvsAlgeciras badgeAlgeciras

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
54.3%
Edge
+0.3 pts
Best odds
1.84

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.84

LowEdge +0.3%
Our model54.6%
The market54.3%

The market underrated this by 0.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Villarreal II badge

Villarreal II

Attack58
Defence55
Form67
Algeciras badge

Algeciras

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model77.3%
The market84.0%
Edge
-6.7
Odds
1.19

Draw No Bet

Villarreal II (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Correct
Our model69.4%
The market66.7%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market54.3%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.84

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.3%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market49.3%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
2.03

Match Winner

Villarreal II Win

Correct
Our model51.6%
The market52.1%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.92

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model9.7%
The market11.2%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.96

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.7% · actual

1-1

12.2%

2-0

8.1%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.