La Liga badgeLa Liga · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Villarreal badgeVillarrealvsDeportivo La Coruna badgeDeportivo La Coruna

2 - 3
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.2%
Market said
51.8%
Edge
+3.4 pts
Best odds
1.82

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.82

MediumEdge +3.4%
Our model55.2%
The market51.8%

The market underrated this by 3.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Villarreal badge

Villarreal

Attack53
Defence55
Form52
Deportivo La Coruna badge

Deportivo La Coruna

Attack48
Defence100
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model69.6%
The market88.5%
Edge
-18.9
Odds
1.13

Draw No Bet

Villarreal (DNB)

Miss
Our model58.7%
The market82.0%
Edge
-23.3
Odds
1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.4%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market51.8%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.82

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model54.6%
The market54.8%
Edge
-0.2
Odds
1.81

Match Winner

Villarreal Win

Miss
Our model43.2%
The market64.9%
Edge
-21.7
Odds
1.54

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

12.1%

1-2

7.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.