Villarrealvs
Sevilla
2 - 3Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 66.8%
- Market said
- 51.3%
- Edge
- +15.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
MissVillarreal Win
Match Winner · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 15.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Villarreal
Sevilla
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Match Winner
Villarreal Win
- Edge
- +15.5
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 1.70
Draw No Bet
Villarreal (DNB)
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.8
- Odds
- 1.80
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 10.96
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.0%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.