Serie D - Girone B badgeSerie D - Girone B · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo badgeVirtus Ciserano BergamovsVogherese badgeVogherese

6 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
83.4%
Market said
48.3%
Edge
+35.1 pts
Best odds
2.07

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.07

High confidenceEdge +35.1%
Our model83.4%
The market48.3%

The market underrated this by 35.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo badge

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

Attack30
Defence65
Form40
Vogherese badge

Vogherese

Attack25
Defence23
Form4

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market94.3%
Edge
-9.3
Odds
1.06

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +35.1%Miss
Our model83.4%
The market48.3%
Edge
+35.1
Odds
2.07

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model67.1%
The market73.0%
Edge
-5.9
Odds
1.37

Draw No Bet

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo Win

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model50.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.