Serie D - Girone H badgeSerie D - Girone H · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Virtus Francavilla badgeVirtus FrancavillavsSarnese badgeSarnese

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.4%
Market said
53.5%
Edge
+6.9 pts
Best odds
1.87

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.87

MediumEdge +6.9%
Our model60.4%
The market53.5%

The market underrated this by 6.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Virtus Francavilla badge

Virtus Francavilla

Attack63
Defence47
Form53
Sarnese badge

Sarnese

Attack63
Defence40
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.3%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.7%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.27

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model60.4%
The market53.5%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.87

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.2%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Virtus Francavilla (DNB)

Void
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Virtus Francavilla Win

Miss
Our model43.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-6.4
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.