Eerste Divisie badgeEerste Divisie · 7 August 2026AI PICK

Vitesse badgeVitessevsWaalwijk badgeWaalwijk

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.5%
Market said
41.0%
Edge
+15.5 pts
Best odds
2.35

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.35

MediumEdge +15.5%
Our model56.5%
The market41.0%

The market underrated this by 15.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Vitesse badge

Vitesse

Attack25
Defence100
Form42
Waalwijk badge

Waalwijk

Attack42
Defence66
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +7.3%Correct
Our model72.7%
The market65.4%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

Waalwijk (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Void
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.5%Correct
Our model56.5%
The market41.0%
Edge
+15.5
Odds
2.35

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +15.2%Miss
Our model53.6%
The market38.4%
Edge
+15.2
Odds
2.50

Match Winner

Waalwijk Win

Edge +4.1%Miss
Our model43.3%
The market39.2%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
2.55

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model14.3%
The market16.4%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
6.09

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

14.3%

1-1

14.4% · actual

0-0

13.9%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.