Liga 3 badgeLiga 3 · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Vitória de Sernache badgeVitória de SernachevsCF Os Belenenses badgeCF Os Belenenses

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+5.6 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +5.6%
Our model61.2%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 5.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Vitória de Sernache badge

Vitória de Sernache

Attack51
Defence31
Form33
CF Os Belenenses badge

CF Os Belenenses

Attack81
Defence43
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model76.4%
The market82.0%
Edge
-5.6
Odds
1.22

Draw No Bet

CF Os Belenenses (DNB)

Correct
Our model67.8%
The market75.8%
Edge
-8.0
Odds
1.32

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.6%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market55.6%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.1%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

CF Os Belenenses Win

Correct
Our model51.8%
The market61.7%
Edge
-9.9
Odds
1.62

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.26

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.4%

1-1

10.6%

0-2

6.7%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.