Vitória de Sernachevs
CF Os Belenenses
1 - 3Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.2%
- Market said
- 55.6%
- Edge
- +5.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
The market underrated this by 5.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Vitória de Sernache
CF Os Belenenses
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -5.6
- Odds
- 1.22
Draw No Bet
CF Os Belenenses (DNB)
- Edge
- -8.0
- Odds
- 1.32
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.6
- Odds
- 1.80
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
CF Os Belenenses Win
- Edge
- -9.9
- Odds
- 1.62
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.26
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.4%
1-1
10.6%
0-2
6.7%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.