Liga 3 badgeLiga 3 · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Vitória de Sernache badgeVitória de SernachevsSC Covilha badgeSC Covilha

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+8.2 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

LowEdge +8.2%
Our model53.7%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 8.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Vitória de Sernache badge

Vitória de Sernache

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
SC Covilha badge

SC Covilha

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +9.6%
Our model72.1%
The market62.5%
Edge
+9.6
Odds
1.60

Draw No Bet

Vitória de Sernache (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Void
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.2%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market45.5%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Vitória de Sernache Win

Edge +10.0%Miss
Our model42.3%
The market32.3%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
3.10

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5%

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.