Serie D badgeSerie D · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Vitória ES badgeVitória ESvsDemocrata GV badgeDemocrata GV

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.2%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+17.2 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Vitória ES Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +17.2%
Our model67.2%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 17.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Vitória ES badge

Vitória ES

Attack95
Defence80
Form69
Democrata GV badge

Democrata GV

Attack27
Defence73
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.20

Draw No Bet

Vitória ES (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Vitória ES Win

Edge +17.2%Correct
Our model67.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+17.2
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.7%Close
Our model64.4%
The market63.7%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model46.4%
The market47.6%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Edge +1.8%Close
Our model14.3%
The market12.5%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

14.3%

1-0

13.0%

3-0

11.5%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.