Serie D badgeSerie D · 20 June 2026AI PICK

Vitória ES badgeVitória ESvsIpatinga badgeIpatinga

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.6%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+10.5 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Vitória ES Win

Match Winner · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +10.5%
Our model64.6%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 10.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Vitória ES badge

Vitória ES

Attack71
Defence63
Form56
Ipatinga badge

Ipatinga

Attack43
Defence35
Form39

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Match Winner

Vitória ES Win

Edge +10.5%Correct
Our model64.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+10.5
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Vitória ES (DNB)

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.8%Miss
Our model52.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+2.8
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.4%Miss
Our model52.8%
The market44.4%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
2.25

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.7%
Our model12.6%
The market10.9%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
9.14

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.6% · actual

2-0

9.9%

2-1

9.9%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.