Serie D badgeSerie D · 30 May 2026AI PICK

Vitória ES badgeVitória ESvsReal Noroeste badgeReal Noroeste

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.9%
Market said
43.5%
Edge
+19.4 pts
Best odds
2.30

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.30

MediumEdge +19.4%
Our model62.9%
The market43.5%

The market underrated this by 19.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Vitória ES badge

Vitória ES

Attack95
Defence57
Form69
Real Noroeste badge

Real Noroeste

Attack39
Defence45
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Draw No Bet

Vitória ES (DNB)

Edge +8.9%Void
Our model66.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.4%Close
Our model62.9%
The market43.5%
Edge
+19.4
Odds
2.30

Match Winner

Vitória ES Win

Miss
Our model62.2%
The market69.4%
Edge
-7.2
Odds
1.44

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +15.2%Correct
Our model53.4%
The market38.2%
Edge
+15.2
Odds
2.62

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model10.6%
The market9.2%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

10.6%

1-0

10.0%

2-1

9.6%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.