Vitória ESvs
Real Noroeste
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.9%
- Market said
- 43.5%
- Edge
- +19.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.30
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.30
The market underrated this by 19.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Vitória ES
Real Noroeste
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Draw No Bet
Vitória ES (DNB)
- Edge
- +8.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +19.4
- Odds
- 2.30
Match Winner
Vitória ES Win
- Edge
- -7.2
- Odds
- 1.44
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +15.2
- Odds
- 2.62
Correct Score
Score: 2-0
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 10.83
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-0
10.6%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.