Serie D badgeSerie D · 18 April 2026AI PICK

Vitória ES badgeVitória ESvsRio Branco ES badgeRio Branco ES

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.0%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+5.9 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +5.9%
Our model60.0%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Vitória ES badge

Vitória ES

Attack79
Defence100
Form71
Rio Branco ES badge

Rio Branco ES

Attack45
Defence59
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Vitória ES (DNB)

Edge +3.9%Miss
Our model61.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.8%Correct
Our model59.4%
The market52.6%
Edge
+6.8
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Vitória ES Win

Edge +8.3%Miss
Our model58.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.3
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.