Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Vitória SC badgeVitória SCvsCasa Pia badgeCasa Pia

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.4%
Market said
61.0%
Edge
+4.4 pts
Best odds
1.64

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Vitória SC Win

Match Winner · best price 1.64

MediumEdge +4.4%
Our model65.4%
The market61.0%

The market underrated this by 4.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Vitória SC badge

Vitória SC

Attack70
Defence84
Form63
Casa Pia badge

Casa Pia

Attack21
Defence25
Form14

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model90.0%
The market87.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.15

Draw No Bet

Vitória SC (DNB)

Edge +8.8%Void
Our model86.9%
The market78.1%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
1.28

Match Winner

Vitória SC Win

Edge +4.4%Miss
Our model65.4%
The market61.0%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.64

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.5%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market54.7%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.76

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.0%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market48.6%
Edge
+6.0
Odds
2.04

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss
Our model14.9%
The market17.2%
Edge
-2.3
Odds
5.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

14.9%

1-0

13.1%

3-0

10.4%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.