Primeira Liga · 23 August 2026AI PICK
Vitória SCvs
Nacional
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.4%
- Market said
- 50.7%
- Edge
- +7.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 7.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Vitória SC
Nacional
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -3.7
- Odds
- 1.20
Draw No Bet
Vitória SC (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.7
- Odds
- 1.90
Match Winner
Vitória SC Win
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 1.70
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.80
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.43
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.