Copa Do Brasil · 6 August 2026AI PICK

VitoriavsAtletico Paranaense

4 - 0

Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 54.5%
Market said: 44.4%
Edge: +10.1 pts
Best odds: 2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

LowEdge +10.1%

Our model54.5%

The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 10.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Vitoria

Attack60

Defence54

Form64

Atletico Paranaense

Attack33

Defence100

Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +3.6%Correct

Our model73.5%

The market69.9%

Edge: +3.6
Odds: 1.43

Draw No Bet

Vitoria (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Correct

Our model70.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: +12.9
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.1%Correct

Our model54.5%

The market44.4%

Edge: +10.1
Odds: 2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.7%Miss

Our model53.6%

The market52.9%

Edge: +0.7
Odds: 1.89

Match Winner

Vitoria Win

Edge +13.5%Correct

Our model52.9%

The market39.4%

Edge: +13.5
Odds: 2.54

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss

Our model10.0%

The market11.5%

Edge: -1.5
Odds: 8.69

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

10.0%

1-1

11.3%

2-1

10.0%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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