Serie A badgeSerie A · 23 August 2026AI PICK

Vitoria badgeVitoriavsBahia badgeBahia

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
48.7%
Edge
+10.7 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +10.7%
Our model59.4%
The market48.7%

The market underrated this by 10.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Vitoria badge

Vitoria

Attack59
Defence44
Form56
Bahia badge

Bahia

Attack57
Defence46
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model68.1%
The market69.9%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
1.43

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.7%Close
Our model59.4%
The market48.7%
Edge
+10.7
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Vitoria (DNB)

Edge +5.5%Miss
Our model56.8%
The market51.3%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.7%
The market56.1%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Vitoria Win

Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model42.1%
The market39.2%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
2.55

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

1-1

11.8%

1-2

7.8%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.