Vitoriavs
Bahia
0 - 2Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.4%
- Market said
- 48.7%
- Edge
- +10.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 10.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Vitoria
Bahia
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 1.43
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.7
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Vitoria (DNB)
- Edge
- +5.5
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -3.4
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Vitoria Win
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 2.55
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.81
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
7.8%
We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.