Copa do Nordeste badgeCopa do Nordeste · 7 May 2026AI PICK

Vitoria badgeVitoriavsCeara badgeCeara

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.6%
Market said
42.0%
Edge
+23.6 pts
Best odds
2.38

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.38

MediumEdge +23.6%
Our model65.6%
The market42.0%

The market underrated this by 23.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Vitoria badge

Vitoria

Attack65
Defence50
Form53
Ceara badge

Ceara

Attack56
Defence63
Form55

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +23.6%Miss
Our model65.6%
The market42.0%
Edge
+23.6
Odds
2.38

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +17.0%Miss
Our model64.6%
The market47.6%
Edge
+17.0
Odds
2.10

Draw No Bet

Vitoria (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Vitoria Win

Edge +0.6%Correct
Our model50.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.