Serie A badgeSerie A · 30 July 2026AI PICK

Vitoria badgeVitoriavsPalmeiras badgePalmeiras

0 - 4
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
78.7%
Market said
46.4%
Edge
+32.3 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

High confidenceEdge +32.3%
Our model78.7%
The market46.4%

The market underrated this by 32.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Vitoria badge

Vitoria

Attack78
Defence55
Form71
Palmeiras badge

Palmeiras

Attack71
Defence100
Form74

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +32.3%Correct
Our model78.7%
The market46.4%
Edge
+32.3
Odds
2.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +24.7%Miss
Our model76.9%
The market52.2%
Edge
+24.7
Odds
1.91

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market75.2%
Edge
-0.4
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Vitoria (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Vitoria Win

Edge +16.9%Miss
Our model43.6%
The market26.7%
Edge
+16.9
Odds
3.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.