Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Vizela badgeVizelavsUnião de Leiria badgeUnião de Leiria

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.5%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+3.9 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +3.9%
Our model56.5%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 3.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +6.0%Miss
Our model72.7%
The market66.7%
Edge
+6.0
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

União de Leiria (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Miss
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model56.5%
The market52.6%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +6.2%Correct
Our model53.6%
The market47.4%
Edge
+6.2
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

União de Leiria Win

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model43.1%
The market38.2%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
2.62

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model12.7%
The market14.6%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
6.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.7%

1-1

14.7%

0-0

12.8%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.