First League badgeFirst League · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Volga Ulyanovsk badgeVolga UlyanovskvsArsenal Tula badgeArsenal Tula

3 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
52.5%
Edge
+2.1 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

LowEdge +2.1%
Our model54.6%
The market52.5%

The market underrated this by 2.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Volga Ulyanovsk badge

Volga Ulyanovsk

Attack48
Defence45
Form44
Arsenal Tula badge

Arsenal Tula

Attack49
Defence42
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +1.5%
Our model73.4%
The market71.9%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
1.39

Draw No Bet

Volga Ulyanovsk (DNB)

Edge +10.1%Correct
Our model65.3%
The market55.2%
Edge
+10.1
Odds
1.81

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.1%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market52.5%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.9%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market44.7%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
2.15

Match Winner

Volga Ulyanovsk Win

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model50.0%
The market41.3%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
2.42

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model8.6%
The market9.9%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.15

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.6%

1-1

13.8%

0-0

8.3%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.