Volga Ulyanovskvs
Arsenal Tula
3 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.6%
- Market said
- 52.5%
- Edge
- +2.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.83
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83
The market underrated this by 2.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Volga Ulyanovsk
Arsenal Tula
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +1.5
- Odds
- 1.39
Draw No Bet
Volga Ulyanovsk (DNB)
- Edge
- +10.1
- Odds
- 1.81
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.1
- Odds
- 1.83
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.9
- Odds
- 2.15
Match Winner
Volga Ulyanovsk Win
- Edge
- +8.7
- Odds
- 2.42
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.15
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.6%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
8.3%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.