First League badgeFirst League · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Volga Ulyanovsk badgeVolga UlyanovskvsFakel badgeFakel

0 - 3
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Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.4%
Market said
62.1%
Edge
+8.3 pts
Best odds
1.61

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.61

High confidenceEdge +8.3%
Our model70.4%
The market62.1%

The market underrated this by 8.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Volga Ulyanovsk badge

Volga Ulyanovsk

Attack40
Defence66
Form42
Fakel badge

Fakel

Attack55
Defence79
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.3%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.31

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.3%Close
Our model70.4%
The market62.1%
Edge
+8.3
Odds
1.61

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.5%Miss
Our model53.4%
The market46.9%
Edge
+6.5
Odds
2.13

Draw No Bet

Volga Ulyanovsk (DNB)

Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Volga Ulyanovsk Win

Edge +16.0%
Our model36.2%
The market20.2%
Edge
+16.0
Odds
4.94

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.0%
The market13.0%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

15.0%

1-0

12.0%

1-1

11.1%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.