Vukovarvs
HNK Cibalia
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.6%
- Market said
- 49.8%
- Edge
- +8.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.01
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.01
The market underrated this by 8.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Vukovar
HNK Cibalia
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -5.4
- Odds
- 1.24
Draw No Bet
Vukovar (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.6
- Odds
- 1.59
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.8
- Odds
- 2.01
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -2.3
- Odds
- 1.80
Match Winner
Vukovar Win
- Edge
- +2.1
- Odds
- 2.02
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
1-1
6.8% · actual
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.