Eredivisie badgeEredivisie · 5 May 2026AI PICK

Waalwijk badgeWaalwijkvsWillem II badgeWillem II

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
78.8%
Market said
64.5%
Edge
+14.3 pts
Best odds
1.55

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.55

High confidenceEdge +14.3%
Our model78.8%
The market64.5%

The market underrated this by 14.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Waalwijk badge

Waalwijk

Attack67
Defence51
Form52
Willem II badge

Willem II

Attack59
Defence100
Form71

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.3%Miss
Our model78.8%
The market64.5%
Edge
+14.3
Odds
1.55

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model70.6%
The market67.6%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.48

Draw No Bet

Waalwijk (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Waalwijk Win

Edge +1.2%Miss
Our model51.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.