Primera División - Apertura badgePrimera División - Apertura · 24 May 2026AI PICK

Wanderers badgeWanderersvsDeportivo Maldonado badgeDeportivo Maldonado

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.7%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+2.1 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +2.1%
Our model56.7%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 2.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Wanderers badge

Wanderers

Attack40
Defence45
Form44
Deportivo Maldonado badge

Deportivo Maldonado

Attack61
Defence60
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.1%Correct
Our model56.7%
The market54.6%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Wanderers (DNB)

Void
Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Wanderers Win

Miss
Our model43.2%
The market43.5%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
2.30

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.7%
Our model13.0%
The market11.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
8.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.0%

1-1

10.4% · actual

1-0

10.0%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.