Primera División - Apertura badgePrimera División - Apertura · 8 May 2026AI PICK

Wanderers badgeWanderersvsLiverpool Montevideo badgeLiverpool Montevideo

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.1%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+3.7 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +3.7%
Our model56.1%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 3.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Wanderers badge

Wanderers

Attack43
Defence39
Form38
Liverpool Montevideo badge

Liverpool Montevideo

Attack51
Defence49
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.7%Miss
Our model56.1%
The market52.4%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Wanderers Win

Correct
Our model49.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Wanderers (DNB)

Correct
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.13

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.6%

1-0

11.8% · actual

1-1

10.9%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.