Wanderersvs
Liverpool Montevideo
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 56.1%
- Market said
- 52.4%
- Edge
- +3.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.91
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91
The market underrated this by 3.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +3.7
- Odds
- 1.91
Match Winner
Wanderers Win
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Wanderers (DNB)
- Edge
- -8.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 9.13
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
12.6%
1-0
11.8% · actual
1-1
10.9%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.