Wanderersvs
Penarol
1 - 0Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.2%
- Market said
- 45.5%
- Edge
- +9.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.20
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.20
The market underrated this by 9.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Wanderers
Penarol
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +9.7
- Odds
- 2.20
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -4.3
- Odds
- 1.70
Draw No Bet
Wanderers (DNB)
- Edge
- -14.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Wanderers Win
- Edge
- -17.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.