Primera División - Apertura badgePrimera División - Apertura · 11 July 2026AI PICK

Wanderers badgeWanderersvsProgreso badgeProgreso

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
54.1%
Markets called
5 of 5 right
Final score
2 - 0

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65

LowEdge -4.7%
Our model54.1%
The market58.8%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Wanderers badge

Wanderers

Attack49
Defence50
Form42
Progreso badge

Progreso

Attack38
Defence41
Form27

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Draw No Bet

Wanderers (DNB)

Edge +27.4%Correct
Our model84.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
+27.4
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market78.1%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model54.1%
The market58.8%
Edge
-4.7
Odds
1.65

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model53.0%
The market53.8%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Wanderers Win

Correct
Our model41.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
-8.9
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Close
Our model12.7%
The market14.6%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
6.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.7%

1-1

14.7%

0-0

12.8%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.