Waterhousevs
Cavalier
0 - 2Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 67.4%
- Market said
- 48.8%
- Edge
- +18.6 pts
- Best odds
- 2.05
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05
The market underrated this by 18.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Waterhouse
Cavalier
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +18.6
- Odds
- 2.05
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +11.1
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
Waterhouse (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Waterhouse Win
- Edge
- +3.7
- Odds
- 2.25
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 12.69
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.1%
1-1
7.7%
1-0
7.4%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.