Premier League badgePremier League · 13 May 2026AI PICK

Waterhouse badgeWaterhousevsCavalier badgeCavalier

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Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.4%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+18.6 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +18.6%
Our model67.4%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 18.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Waterhouse badge

Waterhouse

Attack69
Defence75
Form69
Cavalier badge

Cavalier

Attack58
Defence66
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.6%Close
Our model67.4%
The market48.8%
Edge
+18.6
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.1%Miss
Our model65.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+11.1
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Waterhouse (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Waterhouse Win

Edge +3.7%Miss
Our model48.1%
The market44.4%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
2.25

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.1%
The market7.9%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.69

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

7.7%

1-0

7.4%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.