Premier League badgePremier League · 6 May 2026AI PICK

Waterhouse badgeWaterhousevsDunbeholden badgeDunbeholden

4 - 0
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.9%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+8.8 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +8.8%
Our model62.9%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 8.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Waterhouse badge

Waterhouse

Attack62
Defence69
Form64
Dunbeholden badge

Dunbeholden

Attack54
Defence42
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market89.3%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
1.12

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.8%Miss
Our model62.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model61.7%
The market69.4%
Edge
-7.7
Odds
1.44

Match Winner

Waterhouse Win

Edge +6.6%Correct
Our model56.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+6.6
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Waterhouse (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.