League Cup badgeLeague Cup · 8 August 2026AI PICK

Watford badgeWatfordvsCrawley Town badgeCrawley Town

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Over 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
54.5%
Markets called
3 of 5 right
Final score
1 - 0

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

LowEdge -12.2%
Our model54.5%
The market66.7%

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Watford badge

Watford

Attack50
Defence60
Form33
Crawley Town badge

Crawley Town

Attack33
Defence75
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model72.7%
The market93.5%
Edge
-20.8
Odds
1.07

Draw No Bet

Watford (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Correct
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model54.5%
The market66.7%
Edge
-12.2
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.3%Miss
Our model53.6%
The market51.3%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Watford Win

Correct
Our model43.3%
The market78.7%
Edge
-35.4
Odds
1.27

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model10.0%
The market11.5%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.0% · actual

1-1

12.9%

2-0

9.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.