Watfordvs
Peterborough
1 - 5Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.8%
- Market said
- 44.4%
- Edge
- +9.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.17
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.17
The market underrated this by 9.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Watford
Peterborough
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -5.8
- Odds
- 1.16
Draw No Bet
Watford (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.1
- Odds
- 1.39
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +9.4
- Odds
- 2.17
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.7
- Odds
- 2.34
Match Winner
Watford Win
- Edge
- -13.7
- Odds
- 1.57
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 7.78
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
10.8%
We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.