Watfordvs
Preston
2 - 1Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.6%
- Market said
- 49.8%
- Edge
- +4.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.01
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.01
The market underrated this by 4.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Watford
Preston
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Draw No Bet
Watford (DNB)
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 1.65
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +4.8
- Odds
- 2.01
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 1.88
Match Winner
Watford Win
- Edge
- -2.9
- Odds
- 2.15
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 7.66
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.3%
1-1
14.7%
0-0
11.7%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.