National League badgeNational League · 28 August 2026AI PICK

Wealdstone badgeWealdstonevsCarlisle badgeCarlisle

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
57.2%
Edge
+4.1 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +4.1%
Our model61.3%
The market57.2%

The market underrated this by 4.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Wealdstone badge

Wealdstone

Attack38
Defence52
Form43
Carlisle badge

Carlisle

Attack74
Defence52
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model76.2%
The market76.9%
Edge
-0.7
Odds
1.30

Draw No Bet

Carlisle (DNB)

Edge +8.6%Void
Our model67.8%
The market59.2%
Edge
+8.6
Odds
1.69

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.1%Close
Our model61.3%
The market57.2%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
1.67

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.5%
The market61.0%
Edge
-8.5
Odds
1.56

Match Winner

Carlisle Win

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model50.0%
The market48.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
2.08

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.17

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.5%

1-1

9.3% · actual

0-2

7.3%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.