Bundesliga badgeBundesliga · 18 April 2026AI PICK

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3 - 1
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.0%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+17.4 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +17.4%
Our model65.0%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 17.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Werder Bremen badge

Werder Bremen

Attack29
Defence50
Form27
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Hamburger SV

Attack35
Defence57
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.4%Miss
Our model65.0%
The market47.6%
Edge
+17.4
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model51.3%
The market61.7%
Edge
-10.4
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Werder Bremen (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Werder Bremen Win

Correct
Our model40.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-10.0
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.