Premier League badgePremier League · 10 May 2026AI PICK

West Ham badgeWest HamvsArsenal badgeArsenal

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.8%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+15.3 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +15.3%
Our model60.8%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 15.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

West Ham badge

West Ham

Attack45
Defence52
Form44
Arsenal badge

Arsenal

Attack44
Defence95
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.3%Correct
Our model60.8%
The market45.5%
Edge
+15.3
Odds
2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model57.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
0.0
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

West Ham Win

Edge +6.0%Miss
Our model56.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+6.0
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

West Ham (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.3%
The market10.7%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.37

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.3%

0-1

10.8% · actual

1-1

10.6%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.