West Hamvs
Arsenal
0 - 1Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.8%
- Market said
- 45.5%
- Edge
- +15.3 pts
- Best odds
- 2.20
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20
The market underrated this by 15.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
West Ham
Arsenal
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +15.3
- Odds
- 2.20
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- 0.0
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
West Ham Win
- Edge
- +6.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
West Ham (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 9.37
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
12.3%
0-1
10.8% · actual
1-1
10.6%
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.