First Division badgeFirst Division · 10 July 2026AI PICK

Wexford badgeWexfordvsKerry badgeKerry

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.1%
Market said
53.7%
Edge
+0.4 pts
Best odds
1.77

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.77

LowEdge +0.4%
Our model54.1%
The market53.7%

The market underrated this by 0.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Wexford badge

Wexford

Attack37
Defence52
Form40
Kerry badge

Kerry

Attack40
Defence52
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.4%Miss
Our model54.1%
The market53.7%
Edge
+0.4
Odds
1.77

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +2.5%Miss
Our model53.0%
The market50.5%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.91

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market84.0%
Edge
-34.0
Odds
1.19

Match Winner

Draw

Edge +8.8%Correct
Our model39.1%
The market30.3%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
3.30

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model15.3%
The market17.6%
Edge
-2.3
Odds
5.69

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

15.3%

1-1

15.3%

0-1

11.8%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.