Non League Premier - Northern badgeNon League Premier - Northern · 31 August 2026AI PICK

Whitby Town badgeWhitby TownvsAlfreton Town badgeAlfreton Town

1 - 4
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
53.5%
Edge
+4.7 pts
Best odds
1.87

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.87

MediumEdge +4.7%
Our model58.2%
The market53.5%

The market underrated this by 4.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Whitby Town badge

Whitby Town

Attack30
Defence28
Form33
Alfreton Town badge

Alfreton Town

Attack32
Defence43
Form28

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Our model74.5%
The market79.4%
Edge
-4.9
Odds
1.26

Draw No Bet

Alfreton Town (DNB)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model64.7%
The market61.7%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.62

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.7%Miss
Our model58.2%
The market53.5%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
1.87

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.7%Miss
Our model52.5%
The market48.8%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
2.05

Match Winner

Alfreton Town Win

Correct
Our model46.7%
The market49.8%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
2.01

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model18.3%
The market21.0%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
4.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

18.3%

1-1

15.1%

0-1

13.1%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.