Non League Premier - Northern badgeNon League Premier - Northern · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Whitby Town badgeWhitby TownvsIlkeston Town badgeIlkeston Town

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+5.2 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +5.2%
Our model57.8%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 5.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Whitby Town badge

Whitby Town

Attack52
Defence38
Form44
Ilkeston Town badge

Ilkeston Town

Attack79
Defence51
Form75

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.7%Correct
Our model72.1%
The market71.4%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.2%Close
Our model57.8%
The market52.6%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Ilkeston Town (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Ilkeston Town Win

Miss
Our model43.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
-6.9
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

10.3%

2-1

6.8%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.