EFL Trophy badgeEFL Trophy · 18 August 2026AI PICK

Wigan badgeWiganvsAston Villa U21 badgeAston Villa U21

3 - 2
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
40.0%
Edge
+13.7 pts
Best odds
2.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.50

LowEdge +13.7%
Our model53.7%
The market40.0%

The market underrated this by 13.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Wigan badge

Wigan

Attack33
Defence60
Form33
Aston Villa U21 badge

Aston Villa U21

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +19.6%Miss
Our model63.1%
The market43.5%
Edge
+19.6
Odds
2.30

Draw No Bet

Aston Villa U21 (DNB)

Miss
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.7%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market40.0%
Edge
+13.7
Odds
2.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +5.2%Miss
Our model52.8%
The market47.6%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Aston Villa U21 Win

Edge +12.7%Miss
Our model33.8%
The market21.1%
Edge
+12.7
Odds
4.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model10.3%
The market11.9%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.43

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.3%

1-1

15.0%

0-0

11.8%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.