Eerste Divisie badgeEerste Divisie · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Willem II badgeWillem IIvsAlmere City FC badgeAlmere City FC

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
78.9%
Market said
69.0%
Edge
+9.9 pts
Best odds
1.45

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.45

High confidenceEdge +9.9%
Our model78.9%
The market69.0%

The market underrated this by 9.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Willem II badge

Willem II

Attack56
Defence100
Form73
Almere City FC badge

Almere City FC

Attack71
Defence52
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.9%Close
Our model78.9%
The market69.0%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
1.45

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model70.9%
The market71.4%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Willem II Win

Edge +8.2%Correct
Our model55.4%
The market47.2%
Edge
+8.2
Odds
2.12

Draw No Bet

Willem II (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.